Reelection numbers have been grim for President Trump, especially if Joe Biden were to win the Democratic nomination. Polling from Firehouse Strategies has consistently shown that Biden would defeat Trump in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, giving the Democrats back their fabled “blue wall” and almost certainly handing Biden the White House on election day.
Perhaps the Democrats could have maintained or widened that lead with some healthy, strategic politics going into 2020.
Instead, they decided to try and impeach Trump on the flimsiest possible thing they could have dreamed of.
And now they are paying the price for that mistake.
“As the race currently stands, President Trump is in the lead in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin in hypothetical match-ups against former Vice President Joe Biden, Senator Elizabeth Warren, Senator Bernie Sanders, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, and former Mayor Michael Bloomberg. Across the three states, Trump’s closest contest is against Joe Biden, although the president leads by an average of 6 percentage points against each Democrat,” reported Firehouse Strategies on Monday.
The firm’s Alex Conant did not mince words in his analysis of the poll.
“Democrats racing towards impeachment are at serious risk of leaving behind the voters they need to retake the White House next year,” he said.
This isn’t just Conant pontificating against a background of his own biases, either.
“Battleground state voters favor congressional Democrats turning away from impeachment issues and focusing on policy issues like immigration, health care, and climate change,” the polling firm reported.
Voters in these key states are practically begging the party to drop this nonsensical, lightweight excuse for an impeachment inquiry and get back to the business of running the country. We’re talking about voters in the Great Lakes region who, in many cases, voted for Obama in 2012. Some of them even came out to support Democrats in the midterms under the theory that the country runs better when there is a divided government in Washington. They may or may not love everything Trump has done in the White House, but they do not want to see their vote nullified by angry Democrats pandering to their most rabid supporters.
After the Russia Hoax came tumbling down this summer, Democrats would have had a hard time impeaching Trump even if they had a rock-solid case of unbelievable misconduct to bring before the American people. But they didn’t even try. This Ukraine “scandal,” if you can even call it that, does little to generate interest, much less outrage. If Pelosi commits to moving forward with a full House impeachment – and it would look mighty strange for her to turn back now – she will almost certainly condemn her party to enormous losses next November.
Too bad, so sad.