Polls are still open for the 2022 midterm election but talk among Democrats is already turning to whether or not President Joe Biden should seek a second term in office.
With election forecasters predicting a Republican win in the House, eyes are turning to the 2024 contest.
Even the contenders are talking about the next presidential election. Biden has indicated he will run again and Donald Trump is promising a ‘very big’ announcement about his future on Nov. 15.
But Democrats are already looking at Biden alternatives, including pitching their picks, as the president faces low approval ratings and questions about his age.
His advocacy comes as chatter among Democrats about California Gov. Gavin Newsom, Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg is growing.
Harris’ approval rating sits at 40%, according to the FiveThirtyEight polling average, about where Biden’s is at.
The first female vice president had a rough first year in office with high staff turnout and low returns on a series of high-profile issues, including working on the root causes of migration at the border and voting rights.
The last two years of Biden’s final term will be shaped by what happens on Tuesday night.
‘If Biden can hold on to a Democratic Senate, then he’ll be in the catbird seat to run for reelection,’ Douglas Brinkley, a presidential historian at Rice University, told The Washington Post. ‘Now, if it’s a red wave and the Republicans win the Congress and Senate, there’s going to be a drumroll for Biden to not be the party’s nominee.’
If Republicans take only one chamber of the Congress – and they are predicted to take the House – they can tie up his presidency in investigations and legislative roadblocks going into the 2024 campaign.
Republicans are already eying rolling back portions of the Inflation Reduction Act, including its new, higher taxes on corporations and some of its climate initiatives, if they win on Tuesday.
They would, however, also need control of the Senate. Biden also still has his presidential veto pen.
One area Republicans can have autonomy is in investigations.
Republicans in the House are getting ready to target the administration on a range of issues: from the business dealings of Biden’s son, Hunter; to what Republicans call political interference by the FBI and Justice Department; to the origins of the COVID pandemic; and the situation at the Southern border.
Jim Messina, who ran Barack Obama’s re-election campaign in 2012, said a Republican Congress could actually help Biden win a second term.
‘None of this is Joe Biden’s doing, and doesn’t materially affect his re-election,’ he told NBC News. ‘After taking over, these guys are going to overstep. They’re going to give the president opportunities to draw stark contrasts.’
Most presidents see their party lose seats in power during the midterm election.
Barack Obama famously called the 2010 midterm a ‘shellacking’ after Republicans won 63 House seats during the first midterm election of his presidency.
Bill Clinton and George W. Bush also saw their parties lose seats.
All three men went on to win a second term in the White House.
But Biden is older then all of them. He turns 80 later this month.
He has, however, down played concerns about this age.
In a radio interview on Monday, he downplayed his upcoming birthday, saying he feels more like 50.
‘There’s so much we can do, and we’re just getting started,’ he said.
Original Article: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11404671/Doug-Emhoff-says-Democrats-Kamala-Biden-doesnt-run-second-term.html